Tennis · M25 Harlingen · 05/11, 18:30

Prediction: Hunter Heck vs Kevin Edengren

Team pages: Hunter Heck · Kevin Edengren

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Hunter Heck Kevin Edengren
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Hunter Heck 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLLW
Kevin Edengren 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hunter Heck 1538 · Kevin Edengren 1480
Hunter HeckKevin Edengren
Our model58%42%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hunter Heck (rating 1538 vs 1480).
  • Hunter Heck is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Hunter HeckKevin Edengren
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81-1.4
Games (G-P)11.6-9.49.1-11.6
Aces2.22.5
Double faults2.53.3
1st serve %67.2%63.4%
Break %65.5%33.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hunter Heck

WWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Raphael Perot
M25 Harlingen
2-1 12-13 W
25/10 Ozan Baris
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
04/10 Ryota Tanuma
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
03/10 Kotaro Mochizuki
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/10 Natsuki Yamamoto
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/09 Ryota Tanuma
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/09 Lachlan King
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
19/09 Ilia Simakin
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
1-2 14-19 L
18/09 Matthew Dellavedova
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
16/09 Luka Pavlovic
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-1 16-13 W

Kevin Edengren

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Prathinav Chunduru
M25 Harlingen
2-0 12-4 W
27/10 Luca Preda
M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
21/08 Niklas Guttau
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L
20/08 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
2-1 15-15 W
18/08 Andrea Bacaloni
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
13/08 Karl Friberg
M15 Malmo
0-2 2-12 L
12/08 Leo Borg
M15 Malmo
2-1 16-11 W
22/07 Adam Lynch
M25 Denia
0-2 4-12 L
14/07 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Gandia
1-2 10-15 L
23/06 Francisco Faria
M25 Porto
0-2 6-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hunter Heck vs Kevin Edengren?

Our model gives 69% to Hunter Heck, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.