Tennis · M25 Valencia · 06/11, 10:45
Prediction: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Luka Talan Lopatic
Team pages: Alberto Barroso Campos · Luka Talan Lopatic
Prediction summary
Winner
Alberto Barroso Campos
Luka Talan Lopatic
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alberto Barroso Campos
4-6 (W-L)
Luka Talan Lopatic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alberto Barroso Campos 1489 · Luka Talan Lopatic 1558
| Alberto Barroso Campos | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Talan Lopatic (rating 1489 vs 1558).
- Luka Talan Lopatic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alberto Barroso Campos | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-13.3 | 11.4-8.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alberto Barroso Campos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa M25 Valencia |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/11 | Alex Marti Pujolras M25 Valencia |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/09 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/09 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 06/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Luka Talan Lopatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Miguel Damas M25 Valencia |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 04/11 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | David Naharro M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Ioannis Xilas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Ammar Elamin M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Marcus Walters M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alberto Barroso Campos vs Luka Talan Lopatic?
Our model gives 58% to Luka Talan Lopatic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.