Tennis · M25 Valencia · 05/11, 11:30

Prediction: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov

Team pages: Julio Cesar Porras · Ivan Gakhov

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Julio Cesar Porras Ivan Gakhov
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Julio Cesar Porras 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWWWWLWW
Ivan Gakhov 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWLW
Head-to-head
Julio Cesar Porras 0–1 Ivan Gakhov (1 last)
  • 25 Aug0-2 0-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Julio Cesar Porras 1565 · Ivan Gakhov 1503
Julio Cesar PorrasIvan Gakhov
Our model59%41%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julio Cesar Porras (rating 1565 vs 1503).
  • Head-to-head: Julio Cesar Porras 0–1 Ivan Gakhov (1).

Statistics

Julio Cesar PorrasIvan Gakhov
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay – 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.4-1
Games (G-P)10.9-7.811.6-10.4
Aces0.33.7
Double faults1.93.3
1st serve %65.9%71.1%
Break %49.6%42.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

H2H · Julio Cesar Porras 0 – 1 Ivan Gakhov (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Julio Cesar Porras 0–1 Ivan Gakhov

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DateSetsGamesRes.
25/08/21
M25 Santander
0-20-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Julio Cesar Porras

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Alvaro Peiro Serrano
M25 Valencia
2-0 12-2 W
03/11 Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
M25 Valencia
2-1 11-9 W
23/10 Amit Vales
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
22/10 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
21/10 Alexander Vasilev
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
20/10 Snir Morag
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
13/10 Mateo Martinez
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
08/10 Daniil Sarksian
M15 Pontevedra
1-2 14-16 L
06/10 Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
M15 Pontevedra
2-0 12-4 W
01/09 Raphael Perot
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
0-2 3-12 L

Ivan Gakhov

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Carles Cordoba
M25 Valencia
2-0 12-1 W
12/10 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Challenger Maia · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
11/10 Joao Dinis Silva
Challenger Maia · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
06/10 Yanaki Milev
Challenger Palermo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/09 Nicolas Ifi
M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
26/09 Gerard Campana Lee
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
25/09 Ignacio Parisca Romera
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
24/09 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/09 Xavi Palomar
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/09 Zdenek Kolar
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
1-2 10-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov?

Our model gives 53% to Ivan Gakhov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.