Tennis · M25 Valencia · 05/11, 11:30
Prediction: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
Team pages: Svyatoslav Gulin · Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Svyatoslav Gulin
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Svyatoslav Gulin
5-5 (W-L)
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Svyatoslav Gulin 1564 · Enrique Carrascosa Diaz 1485
| Svyatoslav Gulin | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Svyatoslav Gulin (rating 1564 vs 1485).
- Svyatoslav Gulin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Svyatoslav Gulin | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.4 | 8.6-9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 64% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Svyatoslav Gulin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Iannis Miletich M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/10 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/10 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Takeru Yuzuki Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Michiel de Krom M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Carles Rojas M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Tim Hammes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Pablo Aunion M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Lorenzo Giustino M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Carles Hernandez M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/08 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Svyatoslav Gulin vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz?
Our model gives 75% to Svyatoslav Gulin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.