Tennis · M15 Antalya · 06/11, 08:00
Prediction: Stefan Adrian Andreescu vs Andrey Chepelev
Team pages: Stefan Adrian Andreescu · Andrey Chepelev
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Adrian Andreescu
Andrey Chepelev
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Adrian Andreescu
7-3 (W-L)
Andrey Chepelev
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefan Adrian Andreescu
1–0
Andrey Chepelev
(1 last)
- 21 Nov2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Adrian Andreescu 1546 · Andrey Chepelev 1570
| Stefan Adrian Andreescu | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Stefan Adrian Andreescu 1–0 Andrey Chepelev (1).
Statistics
| Stefan Adrian Andreescu | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.9 | 12.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 57.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Stefan Adrian Andreescu 1 – 0 Andrey Chepelev (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Adrian Andreescu 1–0 Andrey Chepelev
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/25 M25 Antalya | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Adrian Andreescu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Gokberk Saritas M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Radu Mihai Papoe M25 Slobozia |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/09 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/09 | Valentin Vanta M15 Buzau |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Matei Sucu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Iannis Miletich M15 Arad |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
Andrey Chepelev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | William Kjellberg M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Facundo Yunis M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Manuel Mazza M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Romeo Spinolo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/10 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 13/10 | Simone Massucco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Adrian Andreescu vs Andrey Chepelev?
Our model gives 57% to Andrey Chepelev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.