Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 06/11, 02:00
Prediction: Kazuki Nishiwaki vs Tomoki Fujiwara
Team pages: Kazuki Nishiwaki · Tomoki Fujiwara
Prediction summary
Winner
Kazuki Nishiwaki
Tomoki Fujiwara
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Kazuki Nishiwaki
5-5 (W-L)
Tomoki Fujiwara
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kazuki Nishiwaki
1–0
Tomoki Fujiwara
(1 last)
- 22 May2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kazuki Nishiwaki 1482 · Tomoki Fujiwara 1556
| Kazuki Nishiwaki | Tomoki Fujiwara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomoki Fujiwara (rating 1482 vs 1556).
- Tomoki Fujiwara is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kazuki Nishiwaki 1–0 Tomoki Fujiwara (1).
Statistics
| Kazuki Nishiwaki | Tomoki Fujiwara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.8 | 11-10.3 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 0 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 54% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Kazuki Nishiwaki 1 – 0 Tomoki Fujiwara (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kazuki Nishiwaki 1–0 Tomoki Fujiwara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 UTR Pro Kakogawa | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kazuki Nishiwaki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Mikal Statham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 17/10 | Sora Fukuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Liam Youn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Shu Muto M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Hayden Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Heimanarii Lai San M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Tomoki Fujiwara
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Ewan Ogura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/11 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 03/10 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 01/10 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Sota Kambara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Kazuki Nishiwaki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Kabir Chhabria UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kazuki Nishiwaki vs Tomoki Fujiwara?
Our model gives 59% to Kazuki Nishiwaki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.