Tennis · W100 Incheon · 06/11, 05:00
Prediction: Sara Saito vs JiaYi Wang
Team pages: Sara Saito · JiaYi Wang
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Saito
JiaYi Wang
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Saito
6-4 (W-L)
JiaYi Wang
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Saito 1571 · JiaYi Wang 1503
| Sara Saito | JiaYi Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sara Saito (rating 1571 vs 1503).
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Sara Saito | JiaYi Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-12.8 | 9.6-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 59.9% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Saito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Zhuoxuan Bai W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 04/11 | Yuki Naito W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Madison Sieg W75 Toronto |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Toronto |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Saguenay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Linea Bajraliu W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/10 | Clervie Ngounoue W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/10 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Jamilah Snells W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Clemence Mercier W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
JiaYi Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 04/11 | Ha Eum Lee W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/10 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Yidi Yang W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Mariia Makarova W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Yujia Huang W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Quinn Gleason WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Ruien Zhang W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Saito vs JiaYi Wang?
Our model gives 62% to Sara Saito, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.