Tennis · W100 Incheon · 05/11, 02:00
Prediction: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You
Team pages: Xinxin Yao · Xiaodi You
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinxin Yao
Xiaodi You
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Xinxin Yao
6-4 (W-L)
Xiaodi You
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Xinxin Yao
1–3
Xiaodi You
(4 last)
- 09 May0-2 7-13L
- 07 Jan2-0 13-9W
- 15 Aug1-2 13-16L
- 15 Jul0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinxin Yao 1497 · Xiaodi You 1487
| Xinxin Yao | Xiaodi You | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Xinxin Yao 1–3 Xiaodi You (4).
- Note: Xiaodi You makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Xinxin Yao | Xiaodi You | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.5 | 10.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 60.3% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Xinxin Yao 1 – 3 Xiaodi You (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xinxin Yao 1–3 Xiaodi You
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 WTA Jiujiang | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/01/25 W75 Nonthaburi | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08/23 ITF W40 Nanchang | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/07/23 ITF W25 Naiman | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinxin Yao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Hanna Chang W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Yidi Yang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Yujia Huang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Sijia Wei W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Maddison Inglis WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Maya Joint WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/09 | Miho Kuramochi WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Xiaodi You
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Ena Koike W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Yiming Dang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Alina Charaeva WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Victoria Bosio WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Luiza Fullana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You?
Our model gives 53% to Xinxin Yao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.