Tennis · W100 Incheon · 05/11, 04:30
Prediction: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Sara Saito
Team pages: Zhuoxuan Bai · Sara Saito
Prediction summary
Winner
Zhuoxuan Bai
Sara Saito
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Zhuoxuan Bai
3-7 (W-L)
Sara Saito
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhuoxuan Bai 1507 · Sara Saito 1546
| Zhuoxuan Bai | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Zhuoxuan Bai | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.1 | 12.8-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhuoxuan Bai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Caroline Werner W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/10 | Daria Zelinskaya W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Varvara Panshina W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 09/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | JiaYi Wang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/09 | Mina Hodzic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Sijia Wei W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Sara Saito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Yuki Naito W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Madison Sieg W75 Toronto |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Toronto |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Saguenay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Linea Bajraliu W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/10 | Clervie Ngounoue W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/10 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Jamilah Snells W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Clemence Mercier W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Chenting Zhu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhuoxuan Bai vs Sara Saito?
Our model gives 56% to Zhuoxuan Bai, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.