Tennis · M25 Harlingen · 05/11, 17:00
Prediction: Noah Zamora vs Aidan Mchugh
Team pages: Noah Zamora · Aidan Mchugh
Prediction summary
Winner
Noah Zamora
Aidan Mchugh
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Noah Zamora
2-8 (W-L)
Aidan Mchugh
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noah Zamora 1472 · Aidan Mchugh 1548
| Noah Zamora | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Mchugh (rating 1472 vs 1548).
- Aidan Mchugh is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Noah Zamora | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.2 | 10.6-7.7 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noah Zamora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Antreas Djakouris M25 Harlingen |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Felix Corwin M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Eli Stephenson M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Jaden Weekes M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 12/08 | James McCabe M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Aidan Mchugh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Harlingen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Luca Pow M25 Norman |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Karl Poling M25 Austin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Martin Riu M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noah Zamora vs Aidan Mchugh?
Our model gives 65% to Aidan Mchugh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.