Tennis · W50 Huamantla · 05/11, 17:30

Prediction: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez

Team pages: Sofia Johnson · Jessica Hinojosa Gomez

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Sofia Johnson Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Johnson 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLWLLLLW
Jessica Hinojosa Gomez 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sofia Johnson 1477 · Jessica Hinojosa Gomez 1534
Sofia JohnsonJessica Hinojosa Gomez
Our model42%58%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jessica Hinojosa Gomez (rating 1477 vs 1534).

Statistics

Sofia JohnsonJessica Hinojosa Gomez
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.5-0.9
Games (G-P)8.9-10.412.2-10
Aces10.4
Double faults32.2
1st serve %57.9%59.5%
Break %53.5%52.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sofia Johnson

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Demi Tran
W50 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/10 Fiona Ferro
WTA Queretaro · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
20/10 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
W50 Austin
0-2 4-12 L
15/10 Renata Zarazua
W100 Edmond
0-2 4-12 L
13/10 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W100 Edmond
2-1 15-12 W
12/10 Mckenna Schaefbauer
W100 Edmond
2-0 13-8 W
22/09 Maria Timofeeva
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
21/09 Reese Brantmeier
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
20/09 Ivana Sebestova
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/09 Malaika Rapolu
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Jessica Hinojosa Gomez

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Paulina Montiel
W50 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/10 Victoria Rodriguez
WTA Queretaro · Clay
1-2 11-13 L
26/10 Alexandra Osborne
WTA Queretaro · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
14/10 Ekaterina Tupitsyna
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L
13/10 Oriana Gniewkowska
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
08/10 Weronika Ewald
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
06/10 Anna Kmiecik
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
02/10 Lan Mi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
01/10 Yuka Matsumoto
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
30/09 Eliz Maloney
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 18-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez?

Our model gives 64% to Sofia Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.