Tennis · W50 Huamantla · 05/11, 17:00
Prediction: Ingrid C Millan vs Malaika Rapolu
Team pages: Ingrid C Millan · Malaika Rapolu
Prediction summary
Winner
Ingrid C Millan
Malaika Rapolu
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ingrid C Millan
6-4 (W-L)
Malaika Rapolu
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ingrid C Millan 1467 · Malaika Rapolu 1617
| Ingrid C Millan | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malaika Rapolu (rating 1467 vs 1617).
- Malaika Rapolu is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ingrid C Millan makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Ingrid C Millan | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.7 | 11.9-7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ingrid C Millan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Cadence Brace W50 Morelia |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Prisha Vyas W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/10 | Ella Haavisto W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 29/09 | Yuka Matsumoto W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 22/09 | Miroslava Medvedeva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 13/09 | Lilian Poling UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 13/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Bella Pitchford UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Malaika Rapolu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Julia Garcia W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/10 | Cadence Brace W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Julia Garcia W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Maria Sholokhova W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Carolina Alonso W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Barbora Palicova W50 Austin |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Olivia Lincer W50 Austin |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Valeriya Strakhova W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ingrid C Millan vs Malaika Rapolu?
Our model gives 82% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.