Tennis · W50 Huamantla · 06/11, 17:30
Prediction: Sofia Johnson vs Malaika Rapolu
Team pages: Sofia Johnson · Malaika Rapolu
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Johnson
Malaika Rapolu
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Johnson
4-6 (W-L)
Malaika Rapolu
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sofia Johnson
0–1
Malaika Rapolu
(1 last)
- 14 Sept0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Johnson 1496 · Malaika Rapolu 1620
| Sofia Johnson | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malaika Rapolu (rating 1496 vs 1620).
- Malaika Rapolu is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sofia Johnson 0–1 Malaika Rapolu (1).
Statistics
| Sofia Johnson | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.6 | 12.1-7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 63.5% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Sofia Johnson 0 – 1 Malaika Rapolu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sofia Johnson 0–1 Malaika Rapolu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/26 WTA Caldas Da Rainha | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Johnson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/11 | Demi Tran W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Fiona Ferro WTA Queretaro · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W50 Austin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Renata Zarazua W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Ivana Sebestova WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Malaika Rapolu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Ingrid C Millan W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Julia Garcia W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/10 | Cadence Brace W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Julia Garcia W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Maria Sholokhova W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Carolina Alonso W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Barbora Palicova W50 Austin |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Olivia Lincer W50 Austin |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Johnson vs Malaika Rapolu?
Our model gives 68% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.