Tennis · M15 Trois-Rivieres · 05/11, 16:00
Prediction: Johan Oscar Lien vs Rodrigo Fernandes
Team pages: Johan Oscar Lien · Rodrigo Fernandes
Prediction summary
Winner
Johan Oscar Lien
Rodrigo Fernandes
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Oscar Lien
5-5 (W-L)
Rodrigo Fernandes
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Oscar Lien 1526 · Rodrigo Fernandes 1588
| Johan Oscar Lien | Rodrigo Fernandes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodrigo Fernandes (rating 1526 vs 1588).
- Rodrigo Fernandes is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Johan Oscar Lien | Rodrigo Fernandes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.9 | 11.7-6.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Oscar Lien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Matthew Michibata M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Youcef Rihane M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Valdemar Frederik Pape M25 Gentofte |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Justin Schlageter M15 Uslar |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Sydney Zick M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Calvin Mueller M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Rodrigo Fernandes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Lucas Hammond M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/10 | Jack Anthrop M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Nicolas Arseneault M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Mikael Arseneault M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Eric David Verdes M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Eric David Verdes UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/10 | Brendan McDonald UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Nicola Ion UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Oscar Lien vs Rodrigo Fernandes?
Our model gives 64% to Rodrigo Fernandes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.