Tennis · M15 Trois-Rivieres · 06/11, 17:30
Prediction: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Mikael Arseneault
Team pages: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen · Mikael Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
Mikael Arseneault
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
6-4 (W-L)
Mikael Arseneault
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskar Brostrom Poulsen 1488 · Mikael Arseneault 1504
| Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.5 | 12.2-11 |
| Aces | 12.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 26.7% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Tiago Pires M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Andy Tchinda Kepche M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Nikola Slavic M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Falun |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Lewie Lane M25 Falun |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Erik Gahnstrom M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 30/07 | Karl Friberg M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Ludovico Vaccari M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Mikael Arseneault
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Eliot Nobel M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Ithaca |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Matt Kuhar M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | William Jansen M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Matisse Farzam M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 28/07 | James Trotter Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Mikael Arseneault?
Our model gives 54% to Mikael Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.