Tennis · M15 Trois-Rivieres · 07/11, 16:00
Prediction: Nikola Slavic vs Mikael Arseneault
Team pages: Nikola Slavic · Mikael Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Slavic
Mikael Arseneault
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Slavic
7-3 (W-L)
Mikael Arseneault
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Slavic 1561 · Mikael Arseneault 1515
| Nikola Slavic | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikola Slavic (rating 1561 vs 1515).
- Nikola Slavic dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 45.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Nikola Slavic | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.2 | 12.2-11 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Slavic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Maxime St-Hilaire M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/11 | Joshua Peck M15 Trois-Rivieres |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 04/11 | Kim Johannes Niethammer M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Felix Corwin M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Christopher Thies M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Karl Friberg M25 Falun |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Mikael Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Eliot Nobel M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Ithaca |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Matt Kuhar M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | William Jansen M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Matisse Farzam M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 28/07 | James Trotter Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Slavic vs Mikael Arseneault?
Our model gives 51% to Mikael Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.