Tennis · M15 Trois-Rivieres · 05/11, 17:30
Prediction: Eliot Nobel vs Mikael Arseneault
Team pages: Eliot Nobel · Mikael Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Eliot Nobel
Mikael Arseneault
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Eliot Nobel
5-5 (W-L)
Mikael Arseneault
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eliot Nobel 1395 · Mikael Arseneault 1483
| Eliot Nobel | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mikael Arseneault (rating 1395 vs 1483).
- Mikael Arseneault is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Eliot Nobel | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.8 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-12.4 | 12.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eliot Nobel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Oscar Moraing M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Turku |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Max Benaim M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Nathan Mansfield UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Joao Portugal UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Oskar Jansson UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Andreas Loizas UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Mak Mikovic UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Marco Furlanetto M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 22/11 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Mikael Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Ithaca |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Matt Kuhar M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | William Jansen M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Matisse Farzam M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 28/07 | James Trotter Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eliot Nobel vs Mikael Arseneault?
Our model gives 74% to Mikael Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.