Tennis · M15 Trois-Rivieres · 05/11, 23:00
Prediction: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Tiago Pires
Team pages: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen · Tiago Pires
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
Tiago Pires
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
5-5 (W-L)
Tiago Pires
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskar Brostrom Poulsen 1460 · Tiago Pires 1544
| Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | Tiago Pires | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Pires (rating 1460 vs 1544).
- Tiago Pires is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Tiago Pires makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | Tiago Pires | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.2 | 13.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 12.3 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 7.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 24.4% | 60.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Andy Tchinda Kepche M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Nikola Slavic M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Falun |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Lewie Lane M25 Falun |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Erik Gahnstrom M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 30/07 | Karl Friberg M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Ludovico Vaccari M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Tiago Pires
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Antoine Clavel M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/11 | Jared Horwood M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Loan Lestir M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 26/05 | Matthew Rankin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/12 | Stefano D'Agostino UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/11 | Gordon Whitwell UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 23/11 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 22/11 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/11 | Blake Anderson UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/11 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Tiago Pires?
Our model gives 51% to Oskar Brostrom Poulsen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.