Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 05/11, 16:00
Prediction: Maks Kasnikowski vs Michael Antonius
Team pages: Maks Kasnikowski · Michael Antonius
Prediction summary
Winner
Maks Kasnikowski
Michael Antonius
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maks Kasnikowski
5-5 (W-L)
Michael Antonius
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maks Kasnikowski 1523 · Michael Antonius 1519
| Maks Kasnikowski | Michael Antonius | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maks Kasnikowski | Michael Antonius | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.5 | 13.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.1% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 32.4% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maks Kasnikowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Liam Draxl Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 27/10 | James Trotter Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex De Minaur Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Michael Antonius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 18/10 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrew Fenty M25 Austin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Kei Nishikori US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Henry Searle US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Tristan McCormick M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Bernard M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maks Kasnikowski vs Michael Antonius?
Our model gives 61% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.