Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 06/11, 20:00
Prediction: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andy Andrade
Team pages: Maks Kasnikowski · Andy Andrade
Prediction summary
Winner
Maks Kasnikowski
Andy Andrade
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maks Kasnikowski
6-4 (W-L)
Andy Andrade
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maks Kasnikowski
2–0
Andy Andrade
(2 last)
- 29 Jun2-0 13-7W
- 19 Jan2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maks Kasnikowski 1552 · Andy Andrade 1555
| Maks Kasnikowski | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maks Kasnikowski 2–0 Andy Andrade (2).
- Note: Andy Andrade makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Maks Kasnikowski | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.5 | 11.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 32.6% | 36% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Maks Kasnikowski 2 – 0 Andy Andrade (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maks Kasnikowski 2–0 Andy Andrade
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/26 Challenger Brasov | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/01/26 Challenger Oeiras | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Michael Antonius Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/11 | Liam Draxl Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 27/10 | James Trotter Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex De Minaur Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Andy Andrade
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | James Trotter Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maks Kasnikowski vs Andy Andrade?
Our model gives 53% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.