Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 05/11, 16:00
Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs Braden Shick
Team pages: Stefan Kozlov · Braden Shick
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Kozlov
Braden Shick
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Kozlov
5-5 (W-L)
Braden Shick
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Kozlov 1487 · Braden Shick 1473
| Stefan Kozlov | Braden Shick | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Stefan Kozlov | Braden Shick | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.7 | 10.1-12 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Kozlov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Andres Martin Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Colton Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Braden Shick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 21/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Clement Tabur US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs Braden Shick?
Our model gives 52% to Stefan Kozlov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.