Tennis · M25 Valencia · 05/11, 10:00
Prediction: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Miguel Damas
Team pages: Luka Talan Lopatic · Miguel Damas
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Talan Lopatic
Miguel Damas
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Talan Lopatic
6-4 (W-L)
Miguel Damas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Talan Lopatic 1548 · Miguel Damas 1507
| Luka Talan Lopatic | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Talan Lopatic (rating 1548 vs 1507).
- Note: Miguel Damas makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Luka Talan Lopatic | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-8.1 | 11.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Talan Lopatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | David Naharro M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Ioannis Xilas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Ammar Elamin M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Marcus Walters M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Miguel Damas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Johan Nikles Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Xavi Palomar M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Talan Lopatic vs Miguel Damas?
Our model gives 60% to Miguel Damas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.