Tennis · M25 Valencia · 05/11, 10:00
Prediction: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Iliyan Radulov
Team pages: Izan Almazan Valiente · Iliyan Radulov
Prediction summary
Winner
Izan Almazan Valiente
Iliyan Radulov
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Izan Almazan Valiente
6-4 (W-L)
Iliyan Radulov
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Izan Almazan Valiente 1536 · Iliyan Radulov 1448
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Iliyan Radulov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Izan Almazan Valiente (rating 1536 vs 1448).
- Izan Almazan Valiente is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Iliyan Radulov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.8 | 10.1-13.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Yanaki Milev M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/10 | Felix Gill Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Iliyan Radulov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Bruno Pujol Navarro M25 Valencia |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Elmer Moller Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Holger Rune Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/08 | Johannus Monday Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Mark Ceban Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Johannus Monday Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Izan Almazan Valiente vs Iliyan Radulov?
Our model gives 60% to Izan Almazan Valiente, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.