Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 05/11, 10:00
Prediction: Francesco Maestrelli vs Peter Makk
Team pages: Francesco Maestrelli · Peter Makk
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Maestrelli
Peter Makk
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Maestrelli
5-5 (W-L)
Peter Makk
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Maestrelli 1479 · Peter Makk 1570
| Francesco Maestrelli | Peter Makk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peter Makk (rating 1479 vs 1570).
- Francesco Maestrelli dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 48.3% break avg.
- Peter Makk is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Francesco Maestrelli | Peter Makk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.1 | 12.2-8.6 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 56.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Maestrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Francesco Forti Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/10 | Borna Gojo ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Peter Makk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Filippo Romano Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/11 | Marco Bavaro Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Finn Murgett M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Ioannis Kountourakis M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Giulio Perego M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Michalis Sakellaridis M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Maestrelli vs Peter Makk?
Our model gives 53% to Francesco Maestrelli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.