Tennis · M15 Monastir · 05/11, 10:00

Prediction: Toufik Sahtali vs Giulio Perego

Team pages: Toufik Sahtali · Giulio Perego

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Toufik Sahtali Giulio Perego
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Toufik Sahtali 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWLWLW
Giulio Perego 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Toufik Sahtali 1498 · Giulio Perego 1567
Toufik SahtaliGiulio Perego
Our model40%60%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giulio Perego (rating 1498 vs 1567).
  • Note: Toufik Sahtali makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Toufik SahtaliGiulio Perego
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 86% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.5-0.8
Games (G-P)10-9.611.5-8.2
Aces1.71.7
Double faults5.11.8
1st serve %61.6%65.5%
Break %46.5%55.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Toufik Sahtali

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Eneko R Perez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
29/10 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
28/10 Daniil Varaksa
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
09/10 Corentin Denolly
M25 Kigali
0-2 9-13 L
08/10 Kael Shalin Shah
M25 Kigali
2-0 12-6 W
06/10 Chetanna Amadike
M25 Kigali
2-0 13-9 W
01/10 Benjamin Lock
M25 Kigali
0-2 8-12 L
29/09 Mayank Sharma
M25 Kigali
2-1 18-9 W
13/09 Patrick Brady
Challenger Rennes · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
09/09 Matthew Carroll
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L

Giulio Perego

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Isaac Nortey
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
16/10 Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
13/10 Melios Efstathiou
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
10/10 Jordan Hasson
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
09/10 Peter Makk
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W
08/10 Mathys Domenc
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
07/10 Tyler Stice
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/09 Diogo Morais
M25 Setubal
0-2 8-13 L
22/09 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
M25 Setubal
2-0 12-5 W
14/09 Vasco Leote Prata
M25 Sintra
1-2 6-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toufik Sahtali vs Giulio Perego?

Our model gives 59% to Giulio Perego, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.