Tennis · M15 Monastir · 13/11, 09:30
Prediction: Julien Penzlin vs Amaury Raynel
Team pages: Julien Penzlin · Amaury Raynel
Prediction summary
Winner
Julien Penzlin
Amaury Raynel
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Julien Penzlin
5-5 (W-L)
Amaury Raynel
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julien Penzlin 1550 · Amaury Raynel 1477
| Julien Penzlin | Amaury Raynel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julien Penzlin (rating 1550 vs 1477).
Statistics
| Julien Penzlin | Amaury Raynel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.9 | 9.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julien Penzlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Adam Lynch M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/11 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Noah Held M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/10 | Mika Petkovic M15 Offenbach |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Jannik Maute M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/10 | Moritz Hoffmann M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/10 | Patrick-Valentin Moise M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 09/10 | Emile Hudd M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Amaury Raynel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/11 | Charlie Bazil M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/10 | Thomas Gerbaud M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Etienne Donnet M15 Rodez |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Louis Van Herck M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Loann Massard M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Lenny Couturier M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Sam Bakker M15 Haren |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Samy Iraqi M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julien Penzlin vs Amaury Raynel?
Our model gives 63% to Julien Penzlin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.