Tennis · M15 Monastir · 12/11, 10:00
Prediction: Adam Lynch vs Julien Penzlin
Team pages: Adam Lynch · Julien Penzlin
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Lynch
Julien Penzlin
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Lynch
5-5 (W-L)
Julien Penzlin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Lynch 1484 · Julien Penzlin 1550
| Adam Lynch | Julien Penzlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julien Penzlin (rating 1484 vs 1550).
Statistics
| Adam Lynch | Julien Penzlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-9.7 | 11.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Lynch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Rocco Piatti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Fnu Nidunjianzan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Kylian Collignon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 14/10 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/10 | Maksim Tikhomirov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Denia |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Kevin Edengren M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Alvaro De Miguel Montero M25 Denia |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 15/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Julien Penzlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Noah Held M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/10 | Mika Petkovic M15 Offenbach |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Jannik Maute M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/10 | Moritz Hoffmann M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/10 | Patrick-Valentin Moise M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 09/10 | Emile Hudd M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Joao Domingues M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Lynch vs Julien Penzlin?
Our model gives 67% to Julien Penzlin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.