Tennis · M15 Monastir · 05/11, 10:00
Prediction: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Mae Malige
Team pages: Alejandro Moro Canas · Mae Malige
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moro Canas
Mae Malige
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moro Canas
6-4 (W-L)
Mae Malige
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alejandro Moro Canas
1–0
Mae Malige
(1 last)
- 06 Nov2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moro Canas 1539 · Mae Malige 1491
| Alejandro Moro Canas | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Moro Canas (rating 1539 vs 1491).
- Head-to-head: Alejandro Moro Canas 1–0 Mae Malige (1).
- Note: Mae Malige makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Moro Canas | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.3 | 12.5-12.7 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Alejandro Moro Canas 1 – 0 Mae Malige (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alejandro Moro Canas 1–0 Mae Malige
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/25 M25 Monastir | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moro Canas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 09/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 07/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Kalin Ivanovski Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Sander Jong M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/10 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Bruno Pujol Navarro M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
Mae Malige
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Fnu Nidunjianzan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Roan Jones M25 Sheffield |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Henry Searle M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/10 | Adrien Gobat M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Guillaume Dalmasso M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Loann Massard M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Melih Anavatan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moro Canas vs Mae Malige?
Our model gives 71% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.