Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 05/11, 09:00
Prediction: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Lucie Nguyen Tan
Team pages: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur · Lucie Nguyen Tan
Prediction summary
Winner
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
8-2 (W-L)
Lucie Nguyen Tan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1580 · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1527
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Lucie Nguyen Tan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (rating 1580 vs 1527).
Statistics
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Lucie Nguyen Tan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.3 | 9.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 56% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Mina Hodzic WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Lisa Zaar W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 10/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Maria Andrienko W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Carla Giambelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Marie Mettraux W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Carla Giambelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Lucie Nguyen Tan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Laura Samsonova WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Eva Bennemann WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Ruth Roura Llaverias WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/10 | Mireia Sagrista Bermejo WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Maria Garcia Cid W35 Seville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Pia Lovric W35 Seville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/10 | Ares Teixido Garcia W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Manon Leonard W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Lucie Nguyen Tan?
Our model gives 69% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.