Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 05/11, 09:00
Prediction: Deborah Chiesa vs Alisa Oktiabreva
Team pages: Deborah Chiesa · Alisa Oktiabreva
Prediction summary
Winner
Deborah Chiesa
Alisa Oktiabreva
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Deborah Chiesa
7-3 (W-L)
Alisa Oktiabreva
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deborah Chiesa 1482 · Alisa Oktiabreva 1652
| Deborah Chiesa | Alisa Oktiabreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alisa Oktiabreva (rating 1482 vs 1652).
- Alisa Oktiabreva is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Deborah Chiesa | Alisa Oktiabreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 100% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 2-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.5 | 13.4-6.3 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deborah Chiesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/10 | Julia Grabher WTA Mallorca · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Lisa Zaar W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Marta Lombardini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 07/10 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Diana Martynov WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Alisa Oktiabreva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Antonia Stoyanov W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Tilwith Di Girolami W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Alice Tubello W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Ofir Manhard W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Ipek Oz W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Nuria Brancaccio W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Francesca Curmi W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Lola Giza W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deborah Chiesa vs Alisa Oktiabreva?
Our model gives 77% to Alisa Oktiabreva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.