Tennis · M15 Antalya · 05/11, 08:00
Prediction: Stefan Adrian Andreescu vs Nicolo Toffanin
Team pages: Stefan Adrian Andreescu · Nicolo Toffanin
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Adrian Andreescu
Nicolo Toffanin
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Adrian Andreescu
7-3 (W-L)
Nicolo Toffanin
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Adrian Andreescu 1528 · Nicolo Toffanin 1471
| Stefan Adrian Andreescu | Nicolo Toffanin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefan Adrian Andreescu (rating 1528 vs 1471).
Statistics
| Stefan Adrian Andreescu | Nicolo Toffanin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.8 | 9.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 59% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Adrian Andreescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Gokberk Saritas M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Radu Mihai Papoe M25 Slobozia |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/09 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/09 | Valentin Vanta M15 Buzau |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Matei Sucu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Iannis Miletich M15 Arad |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Arad |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
Nicolo Toffanin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Daniil Stepanov M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Ivan Biletic M15 Sibenik |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Jack Loge M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Vaal Urankar M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Paul Schmid M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Adrian Andreescu vs Nicolo Toffanin?
Our model gives 75% to Stefan Adrian Andreescu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.