Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 05/11, 10:00
Prediction: Maxim Mrva vs Thomas Faurel
Team pages: Maxim Mrva · Thomas Faurel
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Mrva
Thomas Faurel
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Mrva
6-4 (W-L)
Thomas Faurel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Mrva 1520 · Thomas Faurel 1549
| Maxim Mrva | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maxim Mrva | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12 | 9.9-7.5 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Mrva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Thomas Faurel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Fares Zakaria M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 22/10 | Allan Gatoto M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Dorian Tremblay M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Jack Loge M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Emilien Demanet M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Isaac Nortey M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Daniel Domingos M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Mrva vs Thomas Faurel?
Our model gives 56% to Maxim Mrva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.