Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 04/11, 17:00
Prediction: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
Team pages: Juan Manuel La Serna · Hernan Casanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel La Serna
Hernan Casanova
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel La Serna
4-6 (W-L)
Hernan Casanova
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel La Serna
1–1
Hernan Casanova
(2 last)
- 13 Oct2-0 12-7W
- 19 Oct1-2 12-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel La Serna 1501 · Hernan Casanova 1486
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-12.7 | 9.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Juan Manuel La Serna 1 – 1 Hernan Casanova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel La Serna 1–1 Hernan Casanova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/26 Challenger Santa Cruz | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10/25 ITF M15 Santiago | 1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel La Serna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Hernan Casanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 19/10 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Wilson Leite Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Alexandre Bobiere Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Wilson Leite Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Flynn Thomas M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova?
Our model gives 60% to Juan Manuel La Serna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.