Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 05/11, 10:00
Prediction: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
Team pages: Adrian Andreev · Matteo Martineau
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Andreev
Matteo Martineau
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Andreev
6-4 (W-L)
Matteo Martineau
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adrian Andreev
0–1
Matteo Martineau
(1 last)
- 15 Aug0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Andreev 1566 · Matteo Martineau 1534
| Adrian Andreev | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Matteo Martineau dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 45.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Adrian Andreev 0–1 Matteo Martineau (1).
Statistics
| Adrian Andreev | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.7 | 13.5-12.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 75.8% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Adrian Andreev 0 – 1 Matteo Martineau (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adrian Andreev 0–1 Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/21 Challenger Luedenscheid | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Andreev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 01/11 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/10 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 26/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Zlatibor |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Ryo Tabata M25 Zlatibor |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Etienne Donnet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau?
Our model gives 54% to Matteo Martineau, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.