Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 05/11, 19:00
Prediction: Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray
Team pages: Aidan Mayo · Alastair Gray
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Mayo
Alastair Gray
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Mayo
7-3 (W-L)
Alastair Gray
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Mayo 1592 · Alastair Gray 1595
| Aidan Mayo | Alastair Gray | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aidan Mayo | Alastair Gray | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10 | 13.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/11 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/11 | Duncan Chan Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 18-14 | L |
| 22/10 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Colton Smith Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Alastair Gray
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Valentin Royer Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/10 | Lui Maxted M25 Norman |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Luca Pow M25 Norman |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Norman |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Emanuel Ivanisevic M25 Norman |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Austin |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/10 | Dominick Mosejczuk M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Austin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/10 | Li Tu M25 Austin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Spencer Johnson M25 Austin |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray?
Our model gives 57% to Aidan Mayo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.