Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 04/11, 20:30
Prediction: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais
Team pages: Marcos Giron · Justin Boulais
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcos Giron
Justin Boulais
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marcos Giron
4-6 (W-L)
Justin Boulais
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcos Giron 1427 · Justin Boulais 1511
| Marcos Giron | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Justin Boulais (rating 1427 vs 1511).
- Justin Boulais is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marcos Giron | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-14.7 | 11.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcos Giron
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/10 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 02/09 | Ignacio Buse US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 20-27 | L |
| 24/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Henrique Rocha ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Justin Boulais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/11 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/11 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Sebastian Dominko Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Theo Arribage Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais?
Our model gives 59% to Marcos Giron, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.