Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 04/11, 14:00
Prediction: Federico Aguilar Cardozo vs Nicolas Kicker
Team pages: Federico Aguilar Cardozo · Nicolas Kicker
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Nicolas Kicker
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
8-2 (W-L)
Nicolas Kicker
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Aguilar Cardozo 1596 · Nicolas Kicker 1531
| Federico Aguilar Cardozo | Nicolas Kicker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Aguilar Cardozo (rating 1596 vs 1531).
Statistics
| Federico Aguilar Cardozo | Nicolas Kicker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-9.6 | 10.4-10 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 59.5% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/11 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/11 | Thiago Pernas Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/10 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Rocco Valente UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Nereo Suarez UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Pablo Mikito Mitoma UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Nicolas Kicker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Facundo Mena Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Milledge Cossu Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Aguilar Cardozo vs Nicolas Kicker?
Our model gives 61% to Nicolas Kicker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.