Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 05/11, 10:00
Prediction: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
Team pages: Sumit Nagal · Hugo Grenier
Prediction summary
Winner
Sumit Nagal
Hugo Grenier
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sumit Nagal
4-6 (W-L)
Hugo Grenier
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sumit Nagal
1–1
Hugo Grenier
(2 last)
- 25 Feb1-2 10-14L
- 17 Jun2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sumit Nagal 1486 · Hugo Grenier 1506
| Sumit Nagal | Hugo Grenier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Hugo Grenier dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 51.4% break avg.
- Note: Hugo Grenier makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Sumit Nagal | Hugo Grenier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.1 | 11.6-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Sumit Nagal 1 – 1 Hugo Grenier (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sumit Nagal 1–1 Hugo Grenier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/20 Challenger Pau | 1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/06/15 ITF India F8 | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sumit Nagal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 07/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Seong Chan Hong Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Soonwoo Kwon Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Hyeon Chung Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Hugo Grenier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Paul Jubb M25 Redbridge |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Marcus Walters M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Bruno Pujol Navarro Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier?
Our model gives 54% to Hugo Grenier, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.