Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 04/11, 12:30
Prediction: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Nuria Brancaccio
Team pages: Valentini Grammatikopoulou · Nuria Brancaccio
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
Nuria Brancaccio
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
6-4 (W-L)
Nuria Brancaccio
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
1–0
Nuria Brancaccio
(1 last)
- 09 Dec2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentini Grammatikopoulou 1610 · Nuria Brancaccio 1523
| Valentini Grammatikopoulou | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentini Grammatikopoulou (rating 1610 vs 1523).
- Valentini Grammatikopoulou is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Valentini Grammatikopoulou 1–0 Nuria Brancaccio (1).
Statistics
| Valentini Grammatikopoulou | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-9.3 | 12.3-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 55.7% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Valentini Grammatikopoulou 1 – 0 Nuria Brancaccio (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentini Grammatikopoulou 1–0 Nuria Brancaccio
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/16 ITF Women Hammamet | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Natalija Senic W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/11 | Weronika Ewald W35 Malta |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/10 | Federica Urgesi W35 Malta |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/10 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Malta |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/10 | Esther Adeshina W35 Malta |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Kseniia Ruchkina W35 Malta |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Tereza Krejcova W15 Karlovy Vary |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Karlovy Vary |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Angelica Raggi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Nuria Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Mallorca · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 13/10 | Laura Pigossi WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Alisa Oktiabreva W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Noemi La Cagnina W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Julia Grabher WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Despina Papamichail WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Nuria Brancaccio?
Our model gives 53% to Nuria Brancaccio, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.