Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 04/11, 08:00
Prediction: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
Team pages: Lucia Cortez Llorca · Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Cortez Llorca
6-4 (W-L)
Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucia Cortez Llorca
1–2
Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
(3 last)
- 08 Oct0-2 9-13L
- 10 Sept2-1 16-11W
- 05 Mar0-2 1-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1563 · Caijsa Wilda Hennemann 1623
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caijsa Wilda Hennemann (rating 1563 vs 1623).
- Head-to-head: Lucia Cortez Llorca 1–2 Caijsa Wilda Hennemann (3).
- Note: Lucia Cortez Llorca makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.2 | 11.5-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 58.8% | 61.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1 – 2 Caijsa Wilda Hennemann (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1–2 Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/26 W35 Seville | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09/26 W35 Reus | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/03/26 W50 Helsinki | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Cortez Llorca
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Sofia Shapatava W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Tena Lukas W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Ariana Geerlings WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Seville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Angelica Sara W35 Seville |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Kira Pavlova W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Julita Saner W15 Taby |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Maja Radenkovic W15 Taby |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 22/10 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Seville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Enola Chiesa W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/10 | Esther Lopez Alcaraz W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Caijsa Wilda Hennemann?
Our model gives 60% to Caijsa Wilda Hennemann, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.