Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 04/11, 10:00
Prediction: Leonardo Rossi vs Remy Bertola
Team pages: Leonardo Rossi · Remy Bertola
Prediction summary
Winner
Leonardo Rossi
Remy Bertola
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Rossi
6-4 (W-L)
Remy Bertola
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leonardo Rossi
0–1
Remy Bertola
(1 last)
- 15 Sept1-2 12-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Rossi 1521 · Remy Bertola 1479
| Leonardo Rossi | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leonardo Rossi (rating 1521 vs 1479).
- Leonardo Rossi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Leonardo Rossi 0–1 Remy Bertola (1).
Statistics
| Leonardo Rossi | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.7 | 13-12.6 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 29.1% | 34.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Leonardo Rossi 0 – 1 Remy Bertola (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leonardo Rossi 0–1 Remy Bertola
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/23 M25 Pozzuoli | 1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Rossi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/11 | Alessio Calabrese Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/10 | Martin Krumich M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Marcus Walters M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 16/10 | Mika Petkovic M15 Offenbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Michael Agwi M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Arian Barbic M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Remy Bertola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Mika Brunold ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/10 | Jakub Paul ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/10 | David Goffin ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/10 | Federico Cina ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 17/10 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 14/10 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Rossi vs Remy Bertola?
Our model gives 61% to Remy Bertola, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.