Tennis · M15 Monastir · 04/11, 09:30
Prediction: Julien Penzlin vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Team pages: Julien Penzlin · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Julien Penzlin
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Julien Penzlin
6-4 (W-L)
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julien Penzlin 1553 · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1543
| Julien Penzlin | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Julien Penzlin | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.6 | 12.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julien Penzlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Noah Held M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/10 | Mika Petkovic M15 Offenbach |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Jannik Maute M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/10 | Moritz Hoffmann M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/10 | Patrick-Valentin Moise M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 09/10 | Emile Hudd M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Joao Domingues M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Nishesh Basavareddy ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Federico Cina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/09 | Reiya Komagata M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julien Penzlin vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz?
Our model gives 67% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.