Tennis · M15 Monastir · 04/11, 09:30
Prediction: Charles Chen vs Cesar Bouchelaghem
Team pages: Charles Chen · Cesar Bouchelaghem
Prediction summary
Winner
Charles Chen
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Charles Chen
3-7 (W-L)
Cesar Bouchelaghem
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charles Chen 1415 · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1503
| Charles Chen | Cesar Bouchelaghem | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cesar Bouchelaghem (rating 1415 vs 1503).
- Cesar Bouchelaghem is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Charles Chen makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Charles Chen | Cesar Bouchelaghem | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.9 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-13.7 | 10.1-8.4 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charles Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Lilian Marmousez M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 27/10 | Alessandro Maina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 16/09 | Damien Salvestre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Felipe Jose Rivadeneira Gallegos M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Eyad Reda Ezzat Mohamed Sherif M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Bekkhan Atlangeriev M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Benito Sanchez Martinez M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Gilberto Ravasio M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Oscar Brown M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Ammar Elamin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charles Chen vs Cesar Bouchelaghem?
Our model gives 74% to Cesar Bouchelaghem, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.