Tennis · M15 Monastir · 04/11, 12:30
Prediction: Maxence Rivet vs Nikolai Barsukov
Team pages: Maxence Rivet · Nikolai Barsukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxence Rivet
Nikolai Barsukov
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maxence Rivet
7-3 (W-L)
Nikolai Barsukov
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxence Rivet 1538 · Nikolai Barsukov 1459
| Maxence Rivet | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxence Rivet (rating 1538 vs 1459).
- Note: Nikolai Barsukov makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Maxence Rivet | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.7 | 10.9-12.5 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 27.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxence Rivet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Louis Tessa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Robin Bertrand M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Nikola Djukic Valera M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Daniel Jade M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Diogo Coelho M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Emile Hudd M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Jules Alias M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Paul Theate M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Nikolai Barsukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Malta |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alexandr Binda M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Seonyong Han M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Yue Xia M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Yuquan Jin M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Romain Faucon M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxence Rivet vs Nikolai Barsukov?
Our model gives 57% to Maxence Rivet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.