Tennis · M15 Antalya · 04/11, 09:00
Prediction: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Mattia Nannelli
Team pages: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini · Mattia Nannelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Mattia Nannelli
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
6-4 (W-L)
Mattia Nannelli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1493 · Mattia Nannelli 1528
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Mattia Nannelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Mattia Nannelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.8 | 10.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Matteo Gribaldo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/10 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Jannik Maute M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 10-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Mattia Nannelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Patrick Jozwicki M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 18/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/10 | George Lazarov M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Burgas |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 09/10 | Aleksandar Tolev M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Alexander Vasilev M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Rodion Chetverikov M15 Burgas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Andrea Paolini M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/09 | David Tixhon M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Mattia Nannelli?
Our model gives 54% to Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.