Tennis · M25 Valencia · 04/11, 10:00
Prediction: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Sergi Fita Juan
Team pages: Luka Talan Lopatic · Sergi Fita Juan
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Talan Lopatic
Sergi Fita Juan
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Talan Lopatic
5-5 (W-L)
Sergi Fita Juan
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Talan Lopatic 1538 · Sergi Fita Juan 1412
| Luka Talan Lopatic | Sergi Fita Juan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Talan Lopatic (rating 1538 vs 1412).
- Luka Talan Lopatic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Luka Talan Lopatic | Sergi Fita Juan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-8.4 | 7.3-12.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 51.9% |
| Break % | 46% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Talan Lopatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | David Naharro M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Ioannis Xilas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Ammar Elamin M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Marcus Walters M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Sergi Fita Juan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Ivan Biletic M15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | John Sperle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Carles Cordoba M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Santander |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Santander |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Talan Lopatic vs Sergi Fita Juan?
Our model gives 68% to Luka Talan Lopatic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.