Tennis · M25 Valencia · 04/11, 10:00
Prediction: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Julio Cesar Porras
Team pages: Alvaro Peiro Serrano · Julio Cesar Porras
Prediction summary
Winner
Alvaro Peiro Serrano
Julio Cesar Porras
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alvaro Peiro Serrano
3-7 (W-L)
Julio Cesar Porras
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alvaro Peiro Serrano 1410 · Julio Cesar Porras 1542
| Alvaro Peiro Serrano | Julio Cesar Porras | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julio Cesar Porras (rating 1410 vs 1542).
- Julio Cesar Porras is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alvaro Peiro Serrano | Julio Cesar Porras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-12.5 | 10.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 55.9% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alvaro Peiro Serrano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Fnu Nidunjianzan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/10 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Richard Zusman M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Oriol Font M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Julio Cesar Porras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Valencia |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Alexander Vasilev M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Snir Morag M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Mateo Martinez M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Pontevedra |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Raphael Perot M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Julio Cesar Porras?
Our model gives 78% to Julio Cesar Porras, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.