Tennis · M25 Valencia · 04/11, 10:00
Prediction: Michiel de Krom vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
Team pages: Michiel de Krom · Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Michiel de Krom
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Michiel de Krom
4-6 (W-L)
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michiel de Krom
1–0
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
(1 last)
- 16 Jun2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michiel de Krom 1502 · Enrique Carrascosa Diaz 1445
| Michiel de Krom | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michiel de Krom (rating 1502 vs 1445).
- Head-to-head: Michiel de Krom 1–0 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz (1).
Statistics
| Michiel de Krom | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.2 | 8.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Michiel de Krom 1 – 0 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michiel de Krom 1–0 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 M15 Mungia-Laukariz | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michiel de Krom
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Alan Wazny M15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Facundo Yunis M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Sander Jong M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Mario Martinez Serrano M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Carles Rojas M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Richard Zusman M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Toprak Avcibasi M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Carles Rojas M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Tim Hammes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Pablo Aunion M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Lorenzo Giustino M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Carles Hernandez M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/08 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 02/07 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michiel de Krom vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz?
Our model gives 65% to Michiel de Krom, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.