Tennis · M25 Valencia · 04/11, 10:00

Prediction: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht

Team pages: Leonid Sheyngezikht

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Aren Baybars Leonid Sheyngezikht
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Aren Baybars 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLLLWWWW
Leonid Sheyngezikht 6-4 (W-L)
LWLLWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aren Baybars 1554 · Leonid Sheyngezikht 1536
Aren BaybarsLeonid Sheyngezikht
Our model53%47%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Aren Baybars makes many double faults (5.8/match).

Statistics

Aren BaybarsLeonid Sheyngezikht
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard – 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.81.2-0.8
Games (G-P)11.7-10.28.9-8
Aces2.90.8
Double faults5.83
1st serve %69.2%52%
Break %60.2%45.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aren Baybars

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Mario Mansilla Diez
M25 Valencia
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Pedro Vives Marcos
M25 Oviedo
1-2 10-18 L
24/08 Amaan Siddiqui
M25 Oviedo
2-0 12-3 W
23/08 Alex Martinez Sanz
M25 Oviedo
2-0 13-7 W
18/08 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
M25 Santander
1-2 14-18 L
10/07 Yanki Erel
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 2-12 L
09/07 Ludovico Vaccari
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 17-14 W
08/07 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Cyril Vandermeersch
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 13-10 W
06/07 Jaume Casas Blasi
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 12-9 W

Leonid Sheyngezikht

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Thomas Gimenez
M25 Valencia
2-0 12-5 W
25/10 Taymur Muhammad
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/10 Jose Dominguez Alonso
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/10 Miguel Semedo
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
21/10 Nathan Mansfield
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
20/10 Oriol Font
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
19/10 Cian McDonnell
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
08/10 Matisse Bobichon
M15 Pontevedra
0-2 0-12 L
07/10 Iago Dominguez Alvarez
M15 Pontevedra
2-0 12-4 W
30/09 Miguel Damas
M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht?

Our model gives 52% to Leonid Sheyngezikht, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.