Tennis · W100 Incheon · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
Team pages: Naho Sato · Jia-Jing Lu
Prediction summary
Winner
Naho Sato
Jia-Jing Lu
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Naho Sato
9-1 (W-L)
Jia-Jing Lu
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Naho Sato
0–2
Jia-Jing Lu
(2 last)
- 22 May0-2 7-13L
- 03 Sept0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naho Sato 1617 · Jia-Jing Lu 1509
| Naho Sato | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naho Sato (rating 1617 vs 1509).
- Naho Sato is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Naho Sato 0–2 Jia-Jing Lu (2).
- Note: Jia-Jing Lu makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Naho Sato | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-5.2 | 12.3-12 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 64.3% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Naho Sato 0 – 2 Jia-Jing Lu (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naho Sato 0–2 Jia-Jing Lu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 W35 Changwon | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09/25 ITF W35 Nakhon Pathom | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naho Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Meiqi Guo W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Ena Shibahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Himari Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/10 | Haruka Kaji W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Olga Danilova W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Chihiro Muramatsu W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Mio Mushika W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Kanon Sawashiro W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Haruna Arakawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Jia-Jing Lu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Erika Sema W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Zongyu Li WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Tiana Tian Deng W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Cheuk Ying Shek W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Ena Shibahara W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu?
Our model gives 62% to Naho Sato, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.